(Image Courtesy: USA Today)
Week 4 is upon us, which means conference games aren’t quite in full swing, but we’re getting closer. It’s not a fantastic slate – only two games between ranked teams — but that’s usually when things get weird.
Here are the point spreads, courtesy Bovada, for every Top 25 game next weekend.
FAU at #16 UCF (-14), Friday 7:00 PM
- Lane Kiffin getting 14 points would be really appetizing until you realize FAU is 0-3 against the spread this season
#10 Penn St (TBD) at Illinois, Friday 9:00 PM
- After going to overtime as 24-point favorites opening weekend against App State, Penn State has covered by an average of 27.5 points the past two weeks. This line hasn’t been posted at Bovada yet.
#23 Boston College (-6.5) at Purdue, 12:00 PM
- The Boilermakers are desperate for a win after an 0-3 start. Boston College has covered in each of its last six road games. My early lean is Purdue and the points.
#8 Notre Dame (-7.5) at Wake Forest, 12:00 PM
- The under has hit in seven straight Notre Dame games. The Irish offense has been anemic most of the season. Irish have Stanford and Virginia Tech the following two weeks. This is a good chance for Wake to get a signature win for Dave Clawson.
#2 Georgia (-14) at Missouri, 12:00 PM
- There aren’t many games on Georgia’s schedule that should concern their fans. This is one of them. I still wouldn’t bet against the ‘Dawgs.
FIU at #21 Miami (-27), 3:30 PM
- Let’s just hope this game doesn’t end in a melee this time.
Tulane at #4 Ohio State (-35.5), 3:30 PM
- Will the Buckeyes cover a massive spread in Urban’s first game back? They’re 1-6 in their last seven games against the spread against teams with a losing record.
#3 Clemson (-16.5) at Georgia Tech, 3:30 PM
- The Yellow Jackets didn’t have the highest expectations, but they still have been a major disappointment this season. It feels like Clemson is due for handing out a beatdown.
Kansas State at #12 West Virginia (-14.5), 3:30 PM
- The Mountaineers have an extra week to prepare for this one. This reeks of a blowout, but isn’t that when Bill Snyder always surprises us?
#13 Virginia Tech (-28) at Old Dominion, 3:30 PM
- Everything we thought we learned about Virginia Tech is a question mark again. Syracuse has one of the worst defenses in the ACC, and the Orange just dominated Florida State. I’d imagine the Hokies blow ODU away, but I’d stay away from this one.
#22 Texas A&M at #1 Alabama (-24.5)
- Alabama has covered each game this season by an average of 22 points. I wonder if Saban sees this as a chance to one-up Clemson and put a hurting on the Aggies.
#17 TCU (-2.5) at Texas, 4:30 PM
- Both teams are coming off emotional games. TCU came up short against Ohio State, while Texas needed the USC win badly. TCU has owned Texas lately. I bet it happens again.
#14 Mississippi State (-10) at Kentucky, 7:00 PM
- The Florida win looks nice on paper for Kentucky. An upset of Mississippi State would get everyone’s attention. The Bulldogs have covered four straight games overall.
Texas Tech at #15 Oklahoma State (-13), 7:00 PM
- Forget the spread. The over has hit in five of the last six meetings between these two. It’s worth pointing out both teams might have their best defenses in a long time this season.
Army at #5 Oklahoma (-31), 7:00 PM
- The Sooners are a money-making machine in Norman. They’ve covered 12 of their last 15 at home. Army’s defense is 122nd nationally in passing yards per attempt. Soooooo….yeah…you see where I’m going here.
Louisiana Tech at #6 LSU (-22), 7:00 PM
- Is LSU really this good? Even with two wins over top-10 teams, it seems like people aren’t buying the Tigers. They’re 8-2 against the spread in their last ten overall.
#24 Michigan State (-4.5) at Indiana, 7:30 PM
- The Spartans have covered four of the last five in this series. With two weeks to stew over the upset loss to Arizona State, I like Mark Dantonio’s club to bounce back big in Bloomington.
Arkansas at #9 Auburn (-25.5), 7:30 PM
- The only way Auburn doesn’t cover this spread is if they drive to Fayetteville, North Carolina instead of Arkansas on accident. The Razorbacks couldn’t make a bowl this year if they were in the Sun Belt.
#7 Stanford (-1) at #20 Oregon, 8:00 PM
- Oregon as a home underdog feels like a sure bet..until you remember you picked Stanford to win the Pac-12 and make the Playoff. The Boat will not be making its way to Eugene this weekend.
#18 Wisconsin (-3.5) at Iowa, 8:30 PM
- Iowa has covered five straight, while Wisconsin has failed to cover four straight dating back to last year. This feels like a buy-low game on the Badgers. They’re not as bad as they looked against BYU.